Startup Success Chance vs Level of difficulty of execution

If y axis depicts the success and the x axis depicts level of difficulty of execution, IMO, this graph will accurately signify the success vs level of difficulty really well

If it is very easy to build your product/business, others will also do it in lesser time meaning oversold and overcrowded market. On the other hand, if it is taking you 18 months to build your product/company in stealth mode then the chances are (and there are tons of exceptions too btw) that the market will move to something new or the market size is way too small.

The real success comes in between when it is somewhat difficult to build the product/startup

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